PMPS / THE PROBABILITY LAYER
The world moves
on outcomes.
We build the rails.
PMPS is building the data foundation behind outcome-based products: market aggregation, historical records and a common language for events.
Market listings, odds and event updates arrive from separate sources.
01 / THE COMPANY
PMPS builds the layer
under the product.
Prediction markets hold useful signals, but every source names, prices and resolves events differently. PMPS is working to bring those records together so products can use them consistently.
Market signals
Polymarket, Kalshi and sportsbook data are the initial focus.
One event model
Bring different event definitions and formats into a shared structure.
Historical data
Keep prices, timestamps and outcomes for research and analysis.
Product foundation
A common layer for distinct PMPS solutions and future access.
02 / INSIDE THE STACK
Four layers.
One usable record.
The technical job is to keep the original market context while making related events easier to compare. Explore the target architecture below.
The source record stays intact. Its wording and settlement rules remain visible even after related markets are grouped.
03 / BUILT ON PMPS
One foundation.
Independent products.
Each product has a different job and its own release path. IncentivPay is the first merchant application; the rest of the ecosystem is still taking shape.
COMMERCE & INCENTIVES
IncentivPay
Outcome-based customer offers for ecommerce and retail, powered by PMPS.
LOCAL COMMERCE
IncentivPay Local
The upcoming local-commerce branch of the IncentivPay ecosystem.
WEATHER & OUTCOMES
IncentivPay Weather
A weather-focused branch of the IncentivPay ecosystem.
FUTURE SOLUTION
IncentivGreen
A future solution named in the PMPS ecosystem.
04 / THE PILLARS
Four directions.
One foundation.
Commerce, enterprise, capital and civic programs share the PMPS data foundation. Explore each pillar to see its focus and the products connected to it.
PMPS pillars
WHERE WE WORK · WHAT WE MEASUREPMPS Commerce™
Outcome-linked promotions for ecommerce and retail.
- Conversion rate
- Incremental lift
- Cost per acquisition
PMPS Enterprise™
Operational KPI optimization and behavioral alignment.
- KPI achievement
- Incentive ROI
- Behavioral alignment
PMPS Capital™
Risk routing and structured financial overlays.
- Risk-adjusted return
- Execution efficiency
- Pricing accuracy
PMPS Civic & ESG™
Outcome-driven program efficiency and transparency.
- Participation rate
- Fraud reduction
- Outcome accuracy
05 / BUILDING IN THE OPEN
The road
to release.
Where the foundation and products stand today. Statuses can change as testing and approvals progress.
The earlier public roadmap listed target dates in September and October 2026. Those dates have passed; this view shows the latest stated statuses without implying a new launch schedule.
06 / CONTACT
Have a project
in mind?
Questions about the data foundation, a PMPS product or a possible partnership? Send us a message.
Contact PMPS ↗